The Ranger's Jon Gray has pitched 5-0 to the under on the road this season with a stellar 2.33 ERA. Gray has also pitched 7-o to the under this season during starts versus teams with a winning record, those games produced an average of only a combined runs scored per occurrence. The Rangers bullpen has a very good staff 2,08 ERA/1.20 WHIP over their last 7 games. Texas is coming off a 6-5 loss to Milwaukee in a game that easily went over the total. The Rangers have played 8-2 to the under in their last 10 following an over in their previous game. Texas has also played 19-9-2 to the under in their previous 30 games overall.

Cordin Burnes has been a model of consistency for Baltimore this season while posting a 2.33 ERA/1,26 WHIP in 16 starts. He's been even better than that throughout his previous 5 starts with a 1.44 ERA/0.91 WHIP and 4:1 strikeout to walk ratio. The Baltimore bullpen has a very good 1.02 WHIP in their last 7 overall and a 1.09 WHIP at home in 2024. Give me this game to go under the total.