PREMIUM
Wise Guy $$$-NFL 17-10 (63%) RUN!
(NFL) LA Chargers vs. Kansas City,
10/22/2023 4:25 PM, Score: 17 - 31
Point Spread: -5.00 | -110.00 Kansas City (Home)
Result: Win
Point Spread: -5.00 | -110.00 Kansas City (Home)
Result: Win
Chargers @ Chiefs 4:25 PM ET
Game# 467-468
Play On: Chiefs -5.0
The Chargers are coming off a 20-17 home loss to Dallas which dropped their season record to an underachieving 2-3 (.400). The Chargers have lost 3 consecutive games to Kansas City, but all 3 defeats came by 6 points or fewer. However, this is a much better Chiefs defense than the ones they faced in the previous 3 meetings.
I’ve heard a lot of chatter this week about Kansas City being an overvalued home favorite in recent years. However, my trusted 4d Handicapping Software Program tells me differently. The Chiefs are 6-3 ATS in their last 9 and 12-7 ATS during their previous 19 as a home favorite. That includes 6-0 SU and 5-1 ATS when facing opponents like the Chargers that are coming off a SU loss, and with a decisive average victory margin of 19.0 points per game. The Chiefs have won 5 in a row since an opening night 21-20 home loss to Detroit (5-1). During that stretch, this current win streak, Kansas City’s defense has allowed an average of 13.4 points and 267.2 yards per contest. The Chiefs will also being playing with an additional 3 days rest after defeating Denver 19-8 in a Thursday night game.
Any NFL division favorite of -4.5 to -12.5 like Kansas City who’s coming off a division win, versus an opponent like the Chargers who are coming off a SU loss and have a win percentage of between .187 and .428, resulted in those division favorites going 8-0 ATS since 2019. Those teams won those 8 contests by a substantial margin of 16.6 points per game. Give me the Chiefs minus the points.
Game# 467-468
Play On: Chiefs -5.0
The Chargers are coming off a 20-17 home loss to Dallas which dropped their season record to an underachieving 2-3 (.400). The Chargers have lost 3 consecutive games to Kansas City, but all 3 defeats came by 6 points or fewer. However, this is a much better Chiefs defense than the ones they faced in the previous 3 meetings.
I’ve heard a lot of chatter this week about Kansas City being an overvalued home favorite in recent years. However, my trusted 4d Handicapping Software Program tells me differently. The Chiefs are 6-3 ATS in their last 9 and 12-7 ATS during their previous 19 as a home favorite. That includes 6-0 SU and 5-1 ATS when facing opponents like the Chargers that are coming off a SU loss, and with a decisive average victory margin of 19.0 points per game. The Chiefs have won 5 in a row since an opening night 21-20 home loss to Detroit (5-1). During that stretch, this current win streak, Kansas City’s defense has allowed an average of 13.4 points and 267.2 yards per contest. The Chiefs will also being playing with an additional 3 days rest after defeating Denver 19-8 in a Thursday night game.
Any NFL division favorite of -4.5 to -12.5 like Kansas City who’s coming off a division win, versus an opponent like the Chargers who are coming off a SU loss and have a win percentage of between .187 and .428, resulted in those division favorites going 8-0 ATS since 2019. Those teams won those 8 contests by a substantial margin of 16.6 points per game. Give me the Chiefs minus the points.
