NFL 5*
(NFL) Carolina vs. Atlanta, 09/10/2023 1:00 PM, Score: 10 - 24
Point Spread: -3.50 | 100.00 Atlanta (Home)
Result: Win
Panthers @ Falcons 1:00 PM ET
Game# 453-454
Play On: Falcons -3.5

Both teams went 7-10 SU last season and split their season series with the home team winning on both occasions. The Falcons finished the season 6-2 SU in their last 8 at home. Carolina is 0-5 SU and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 at Atlanta as an underdog of 3.0 or greater while losing by an average of 11.2 points per game.

Any NFL division home favorite of 4.0 or less that’s playing in their opening game that won 7 games or more during the previous season, and there’s a total of 42.5 or less, versus an opponent like Atlanta that won 6 or more games the year before, resulted in those divisional home favorites going 17-1 ATS (94.4%). Those favorites also went 18-0 SU during those contests and won by an average of 11.0 points per game. Give me the Falcons minus points.