Raptors /Nuggets
(NBA) Toronto vs. Denver, 04/29/2021 9:00 PM, Score: 111 - 121
Point Spread: 3.00 | -107.00 Toronto (Away)
Result: Loss
Toronto @ Denver 9:05 PM ET
Game# 509-510
Play On: Toronto +3.0 (5*)

At first glance, the line in this contest jumped right off the screen at me. Despite the disparities in these team’s records, Toronto (26-36) finds itself as a small road underdog against an opponent with a stellar season record 41-21. It’s very rarely that easy when it comes to sports betting. If it looks to good to be true in most instances that’s indeed the case. In my professional opinion, this matchup and current point-spread qualifies in that regard.
Denver narrowly escaped with a 114-112 home win over New Orleans last night but failed to cover as a 3.5-point home favorite. These teams met once this season and Toronto walked away with a convincing 135-111 on 3/24 as a 1.5-point underdog.

Since the 2016-2017 NBA season began, any non-conference road underdog of 2.5 to 5.5 (Toronto) that’s playing before game 70 of their season, versus an opponent (Denver) coming off a home win in which it failed to cover as a favorite, resulted in those road underdogs going 13-0 ATS. Those underdogs also won 10 of those 13 contests straight up. Bet on Toronto plus the points for a 5* wager.