Totals Titan MLB
(MLB) Philadelphia vs. San Diego, 04/26/2024 9:40 PM, Score: 9 - 3
Total: 7.50 | -103.00 Under
Result: Loss
#955/956 ASA PLAY ON Under 8 Runs – Philadelphia Phillies at San Diego Padres, Friday at 9:40 PM ET - We are projecting sleepy bats here for these teams. Both teams were on the road yesterday and now meet on the west coast. The Phillies were in Cincinnati yesterday and the Padres faced the Rockies in Colorado with that series also wrapping up yesterday. Now you have a great pitching match-up here and neither club likely to hit well given this scheduling situation. The Padres lineup would certainly rather be hitting again at Coors Field than facing red hot Aaron Nola here. The Phillies hurler has been in top form for weeks now. Nola has been charged with only 5 earned runs on 14 hits in the 27 innings over his last 4 starts while also piling up strikeouts! He is not the only hot starter entering this one. Don't be fooled by Joe Musgrove's season numbers this year! He has been much better in April and had a tougher start versus Cubs but gave up only 7 earned runs in 19 innings in his other 3 starts this month. Musgrove entered this season with a 31-19 record and an ERA just a little north of 3.00 in his 3 seasons with the Padres. He is a solid starting pitcher to say the least! San Diego off a high-scoring loss at Colorado but, even at hitter-friendly Coors Field, the Padres scored an average of only 4 runs in the first 3 games of the series. The Phillies have averaged only 3.3 runs per game in going 1-2 last 3 games. Now, in a park that is not nearly as hitter-friendly as Coors Field or Great American Ballpark (where Phillies just were), both lineups struggles resume here. If you like good old-fashioned pitchers duels, this one appears to have all the ingredients to be one of those without a doubt. Our computer math model is projecting 5 to 6 runs here and even if it gets to 7 that is still a winning ticket for us. We are going with the Under in this one.