Run Line Blowout MLB
(MLB) Atlanta vs. Miami, 04/12/2024 7:10 PM, Score: 8 - 1
Point Spread: -1.50 | -112.00 Atlanta (Away)
Result: Win
#953 ASA PLAY ON Atlanta Braves -1.5 on the Run Line (-115) over Miami Marlins, Friday at 7 PM ET - The Braves are off a loss and have not lost B2B games this season.  Not only that, it was a 16-4 loss and this was after Atlanta started the season 7-3 and all 3 losses were by just a single run.  Atlanta will be very focused today after being on the wrong end of a rare bad beatdown in their most recent game.  The Marlins are off a win but that was just their 2nd win of the season as they lost 10 of 11 to start the season.  Also, prior to a 3-2 loss in the most recent defeat, Miami was on a run in which, since their season opener, each of their next 9 losses had all come by 2+ runs.  We have no hesitation in laying the 1.5 runs here even though Max Fried is off to a rare bad start to this season.  If he struggles here, the Braves have a rested bullpen as they had a rainout Wednesday and then Thursday they used just 3 relievers over 4 innings and their best bullpen guys are rested and ready here.  Trevor Rogers, the Marlins starter, has also struggled early this season and the Miami bullpen behind him has one of the worst WHIPs (1.62) in the majors so far this season.  The big key here is at the plate as the Braves are hitting .303 for the #1 batting average in the majors while the Marlins are hitting .204 for the worst batting average in the National League.  Atlanta gets back on track after the ugly loss as they outscored the opposition by an average score of 6.9 to 4.3 over their first 10 games.  The Marlins last 10 losses have been by an average margin of 3.9 runs!  Miami has been held to 2 or less runs in 5 of last 6 losses and now, facing the hottest lineup in the majors, the Braves will pull away as this game goes on.  The Marlins just don't have the bats to keep up here.  Big edges in this one and a road blowout is our call.  We think we're getting some nice value in laying -1.5 runs in this one and only having to invest a pick'em price in the -115 range with the Braves.  Lay it!