Run Line Blowout MLB
(MLB) Miami vs. NY Yankees, 04/10/2024 7:05 PM, Score: 5 - 2
Point Spread: -1.50 | -106.00 NY Yankees (Home)
Result: Loss
#978 ASA PLAY ON New York Yankees -1.5 on the Run Line (-110) over Miami Marlins, Wednesday at 7 PM ET - Yankees favored by a little over -200 on the money line so, of course, the value way to look at this match-up is the run line and what a value it is!  This match-up is featuring the team with the best record in the league against the team with the worst record thus far as the 10-2 Yankees wrap up their 3-game set with the Marlins.  The Yankees are 10-2 this season and the Marlins are 1-11 thus far.  Yankees have a fantastic 2.48 team ERA on the season while Miami has a 5.17 team ERA on the season.  Specifically about the starters here, the Marlins send Ryan Weathers to the mound and he has a 6.14 ERA in his 22 innings since coming to Miami from San Diego during last season.  He has walked 17 batters in 22 innings and that includes command issues already this season as well.  New York's Stroman on the other hand has allowed no earned runs and only 7 hits in his 12 innings on the mound so far this season. He is very happy to be back home as he is a New York native and always wanted to wear the Yankees pinstripes!  He already had his home debut versus the Blue Jays and dominated them.  He should have no trouble with this struggling Marlins lineup.  Miami is hitting just .204 this season and has scored an average of only 3 runs in their 11 losses.  The Yankees are hitting .247 this season but with a slugging percentage near .400 compared to the Marlins near .300 slugging percentage! Also the Yankees have scored an average of 6 runs in their 10 wins this season.  6 to 3 (and at least a 2-run margin) sounds about right to us here!  Huge edges here and a home blowout is our call.  We think we're getting some nice value laying -1.5 runs in this one and only having to lay a pick'em price in the -110 range with the Yankees.  Lay it!