AL Central Total of the Year MLB 10*
(MLB) Kansas City vs. Minnesota, 07/05/2023 7:40 PM, Score: 0 - 5
Total: 8.50 | -102.00 Over
Result: Loss
#917/918 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* Over 8.5 Runs – Kansas City Royals @ Minnesota Twins, Wednesday at 7:40 PM ET - Expected starters are Alec Marsh for the Royals and Pablo Lopez for the Twins. We like the over here regardless of the starting pitchers as some overall metrics are pointing to the over here plus the Royals bullpen helps the cause. Taking a look at ERA, the Kansas City bullpen is ranked next to last in the AL so far this season with a 5.06 ERA. This total has dropped from a 9 to an 8.5 which is an excellent value and set-ups don't get much better than this.  The Royals 8 of last 10 road games have totaled double digits in runs and we only need 9 runs to be a winner here.  The Twins 6 of last 7 home games have totaled at least 9 runs.  Kansas City's Marsh has made only 1 MLB start and he allowed 5 earned runs in 4 innings and was hit hard plus had issues with his command.  Looking at his minor league career stats this should not come as a surprise.  Marsh is 8-23 with a 5.72 ERA in his minor league career!  Now he faces a red hot Twins lineup.  The hosts should score very well but we look for plenty of success from the road dog here too.  That's because Minnesota's Lopez has struggled at home this season.  He has been great on the road but has a 5.94 ERA in his home outings.  Also, this will be the 3rd time this season he is facing the Royals so they are very familiar with him.  Also, the most recent time was in Minneapolis and KC got to him for 6 runs in 6 innings in that late April outing.  Kansas City has scored an average of 5 runs per game over the last 6 games.  The Twins have won 4 straight home games and in those victories they have averaged 7 runs scored per win!  Over is the call in this one Wednesday evening.