ASA Free Play Saturday NBA
(NBA) Milwaukee vs. Miami, 04/22/2023 7:30 PM, Score: 99 - 121
Total: 219.50 | -110.00 Over
Result: Win
ASA NBA free play on Over 219.5 Milwaukee Bucks vs. Miami Heat, 7:30 PM ET - Milwaukee essentially played without Giannis in Game 1 as he left the game with a back injury just 10-minutes in. The Bucks still managed 117 total points without him. Then in Game 2 the Bucks shot lights-out and put up 138. Milwaukee shot 54% overall and made 25 of 49 3-pointers or 51%. We don't expect the Bucks to shoot that well again in Game 3 but they won't have too for them to get to 113. This team was the 8th highest scoring team in the league this season at 116.9PPG and ranked 10th in offensive efficiency at 1.120PPP. Milwaukee has the 10th best EFG% average in the NBA at 55.5%. This team was built with shooters and is reliant on 3-point shooting. Milwaukee attempts the 4th most 3’s per game in the league, and on average make 36.6% of their attempts. In Game 1 though the Bucks connected on just 11 of 45 3-pointers or 24%. That number is clearly an anomaly as the Bucks typically shoot much better than that AND the Heat don’t defend the Arc well, ranking 19th in the NBA allowing 36.3%. After dominating in the paint in Game 1 (Butlers and Adebayo combined for 50-points from within 15 feet) the Heat "struggled" in Game 2 with just 42 total points in the paint. Overall Miami still shot well at 54% overall and 44% from beyond the arc and put up 122 total points. The pace of play by both teams was fast enough at 183 and 175 total field goal attempts and we expect that trend to continue here.