(MLB) Houston vs. Boston, 06/09/2021 7:10 PM, Score: 8 - 3
Total: 10.00 | 100.00 Over
Result: Win
ASA top play on 10* OVER 10 Houston Astros @ Boston Red Sox, 7:10 PM ET - We already had our eyes on this one based on the pitching match-up and now a couple of other factors solidified this play. Yesterday's game was 7-1 through 4 innings and stayed that way! As a result the game stayed under the total even though the teams had 8 runs through the first 4 frames. We like coming back with overs a day after a game like that. Another factor we like here is that it will be another very warm day today in Boston so good weather for an over is expected this evening at Fenway Park. Back to the pitching match-up which had us eyeing this game, the Red Sox start Nathan Eovaldi here and he has a 4.47 ERA at home this season which is more than 2 runs higher than what he has produced in road games this season. Now he takes on a surging Astros team that has won 7 of 9 games and has scored an average of 6.2 runs in the last 10 games. Though the Red Sox lost yesterday and managed just 1 run, this was on the heels of a 5-game winning streak in which they produced 5.6 runs per game. Tonight Boston will take advantage of facing a struggling Jake Odorizzi. He only recently came back from an injury and his overall struggles this season have continued. He is 0-3 with a 7.16 ERA in his five starts. In limited action last season, Odorizzi also was winless and he had a 6.59 ERA in four starts. This total is in the 10 range but our computer math model shows this one getting to double digits with each club enjoying success at the plate and having a solid shot of getting to 5 runs apiece which, of course, would mean at least 11 runs in this one. Bet Over