8* Atlanta (12:20 ET): The Braves are hoping to avoid a most embarrassing fate, that being a four-game sweep at home. Two of the three games in this series with the Marlins have been decided in extra innings. The Braves really let one slip away Monday when they blew a late 3-1 lead and lost 5-3 in 10 innings. Last night was a different story as they fell behind early (5-0 going into the home half of the 3rd) and then their rally was “in vain.” It should be pointed out that the Braves were massive favorites (-256) on the money line yesterday. They also lost 14-8 on Tuesday.

Now that I’ve told you how BAD things have gone for the home team in this series, I’m going to sell you on TAKING THEM today. Home teams don’t often get swept in four-game series and I don’t think it’ll happen here. Atlanta should have won Monday’s opener and the fact they’ve now lost twice in extras should tell you that this has been a competitive series despite one team winning all three games. The Braves are normally a good home team (74-48 L3 seasons) and they are still 24-11 vs. Miami since the start of 2019 as well.

In fact, Miami has NEVER swept a four-game series against Atlanta in franchise history! Ronald Acuna is hitting the cover off the ball for the Braves and I expect that to continue today against southpaw Trevor Rogers, who is highly unlikely to replicate his last start where he shutout the Mets for six innings. Atlanta counters with Ian Anderson, who has a 1.04 ERA in two previous appearances vs. Miami. 8* Atlanta