The Houston Astros closed as a -490 favorite on Wednesday, but that did not deter the Detroit Tigers who walked away as a 2-1 winner! The Astros look like they'll close in the same range again, and while I don't see value on either side I do like the score to stay under the total.

Note that since 2004, five teams have closed as a -450 favorite or more with all those games going under the total.

Astros right-hander Gerrit Cole (14-5, 2.87 ERA) owns a 2.65 ERA in six career starts against the Tigers, and while Detroit righty Jordan Zimmermann (1-8, 6.66 ERA) is having an awful season, note his 3.51 ERA in eight career starts against Houston.

Under is 6-1-1 in Tigers last 8 overall. Under is 9-4-1 in Astros last 14 home games.

8* play on UNDER.