Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach NFL Rotation #258 Sunday Free Pick Jacksonville Jaguars (+) vs Cleveland Browns @ 1 ET - The Browns are 7-3 this season but getting outgained and outscored on the season. Granted the margins are small in both categories but I feel Cleveland is over-rated as a result. This is not the type of dominant team I would think of as a 7-3 team. The Browns were on an 0-4 ATS run prior to beating a bad Eagles team last week and they only beat them by 5 points. That said, I do like the big home dog value here with the Jaguars. Yes, I am aware that Jacksonville is an ugly 1-9 SU on the season and has lost 9 straight games SU. However, this team had covered back to back games before getting beat bad by Pittsburgh last week. That was a turnover-fueled loss for the Jaguars. Now the Jags are back home again for a 2nd straight week and I expect them to be much better than they were last week against a Steelers team that is 10-0 on the season. Keep in mind, the Browns lost by 31 when they faced Pittsburgh. This is simply not a great Cleveland team and their last 3 wins have all been by a margin of 5 or less points. I believe this one will too...that is, if the Browns even win! I am grabbing the generous points here. Free Pick JACKSONVILLE