*10* TOTAL POWER (Sunday Night Game) ~ Off 2-0 SWEEP Saturday!
(MLB) Chi Cubs vs. Houston, 09/11/2016 4:08 PM, Score: 9 - 5
Total: 7.50 | -113.00 Over
Result: Loss
10* Under Cubs/Astros (8:05 ET): As alluded to in the promo for this pick, I was on the Under when these teams played Friday night. That was a 2-0 win for the Cubs behind Jon Lester. The best team in baseball lost last night though and again it was low-scoring. In fact, the Cubs' last three games have all seen the winning team score two runs or fewer and they've been on the losing end of two of those. So with those results and the fact Jake Arrieta is pitching tonight, I look for runs to again be few and far between in the series finale w/ Houston. The Astros happen to rank near the top of the American League in run suppression as well. Their starter, Michael Fiers, has been much better when pitching at home this season. Take the Under.

Arrieta needs no introduction. Last year's Cy Young winner is having another excellent campaign, even if his numbers don't quite match 2015's production. He actually leads the NL in wins (16) and is top seven in both ERA (2.84) and WHIP (1.046). His last two starts have been uncharacteristically subpar, although the team was able to overcome him allowing six runs on 8.29 vs. Pittsburgh. That's certainly not the kind of result I'm looking for here. Last time out, he took the loss due to allowing all three runs (one unearned) in a loss to the Giants. Still, that game stayed Under and the last time Arrieta pitched on the road, he threw eight shutout innings of two-hit ball. Interestingly, that one start vs. Pittsburgh when he allowed six runs, he did so on only five hits. He's allowed just 11 hits total his L3 starts.

The Cubs, by far and away, are #1 in fewest runs allowed at just 3.4 per game. Opponents are batting just .211 against them for the year. The problem though is that over the L7 games, thei own offense is hitting a collective .190 at the plate. As mentioned above, Fiers has been much better at home than on the road this year for the Astros. Although it should be pointed out that he's allowed 3 ER or fewer in four straight starts and two of those came outside of Minute Maid Park. Road teams average just 3.4 rpg for the season here at Minute Maid. Make it a clean sweep for the Under in this series! 10* Under Cubs/Astros