The set-up: San Francisco failed to hold two late-inning leads against Arizona on Friday night but the third time was the charm, as the Giants edged the D'backs 7-6 (12 innings) at Chase Field in the opener of a three-game series. The 75-65 Giants gained a game on the Dodgers, who lost 4-1 in Miami, closing within four games in the AL West, while maintaining the slimmest of margins over the 75-66 Cards and 74-66 Mets in that three-way wild card race for two spots. Friday's victory gives the Giants two chances (Saturday & Sunday) to win their 13th series in the last 14 played at Chase Field. Arizona checks in at 58-82 on the season and hasn't played well at home vs. many (any?) opponents in 2016, owning one of MLB's worst home records at 25-44. Arizona's minus-$2624 moneyline mark at home is a MLB-worst!

The pitching matchup: Johnny Cueto (14-5, 2.92 ERA) goes for San Francisco and Archie Bradley (6-8, 4.85 ERA) for Arizona. Cueto was 13-1 at the All Star break but in 10 starts since has gone 1-4 with the Giants going 3-7. However, he still owns a 2.92 ERA on the season and he's 8-3 with a 3.23 ERA in 12 career starts against Arizona (teams are 9-3). Bradley will make his 22nd start of 2016 for Arizona and while he owns a 3.96 ERA in 11 road starts, it's 5.82 in his 10 starts here at Chase Field.

The pick: Bradley's home woes mirror that of Arizona's team as whole (remember, 25-44, minus$2624!) and considering that San Francisco is 7-1 at Chase Field this season, Cueto over Bradley makes the Giants an 8* play.