3-Game MLB SWEEPER PASS
(MLB) Tampa Bay vs. Boston, 08/29/2016 3:10 PM, Score: 4 - 9
Money Line: -205.00 Boston (Home)
Result: Win
Analysis
The set-up: The Red Sox open the new week with a three-game home series against the last-place Tampa Bay Rays. 55-74 Tampa is not only 18 1/2 games out of first-place in the AL East but the Rays' minus-$2517 moneyline mark is the worst of all 30 MLB clubs. As for Boston, the 72-58 Red Sox find themselves two games back of Toronto in the AL East but are owners of the top AL wild card spot. Boston leads Baltimore by one game in that department and is three games inside of the AL playoff ‘cut line.'

The pitching matchup: Matt Andriese (6-5, 3.71 ERA) will get the nod for Tampa Bay, while Rick Porcello (17-3, 3.23 ERA) gets the call for Boston. Andriese seems in over his head in this matchup, having gone 0-3 with a 5.63 ERA in eight appearances since the All-Star break (five starts / three in relief). He has pitched twice against Boston this year, an impressive two-inning relief outing at Fenway Park on July 10 and last week's quality start, when he gave up three runs in six innings. That said, Andriese will contend with a Boston lineup which ranks first in all of MLB in runs scored (5.42 per), BA (.284) and OPS (.815). Porcello will go for his 18th win, while also making a bid to become the first Red Sox pitcher in 70 years to start a season 13-0 at home. He brings a 12-0 (2.96 ERA) home record in 13 starts (Boston is 13-0) to the mound tonight at Fenway Park.

The pick: Porcello is in the first year of a five-year contract extension worth $82.5 million and is a legitimate Cy Young Award candidate. He's 11-1 with a 3.12 ERA since May 22 and Boston is 11-2 in his 13 starts since June 18. Boston lost a 4-2 lead last night when KC scored eight runs in the top of the sixth, giving the Red Sox their fourth loss in five games. Boston fell two games behind first-place Toronto in the AL East but still owns the No. 1 wild card spot. A bounce-back from last night is needed and Porcello is the pitcher Boston wants on the mound. The Red Sox are a 6* play.