PREMIUM
Rogers' Wednesday WIPEOUT (Total) >> 11-5 NCAAF Run! Under Toledo/Akron Last Weds!
(NCAAF) Bowling Green vs. Akron,
11/09/2016 3:00 PM, Score: 38 - 28
Total: 72.00 | -105.00 Over
Result: Win
Total: 72.00 | -105.00 Over
Result: Win
The set-up: The Bowling Green Falcons have dominated the MAC East under head coaches Dave Clawson and Dino Babers the last few years, reaching three consecutive MAC championship games. However, there will certainly not be a fourth straight title game appearance for Bowling Green, as the 1-8 Falcons have taken a monster step back under first-year head coach Mike Jinks. They are winless both in conference play and in fact, against all FBS competition, with the school's lone win coming 27-26 over North Dakota back on Sept. 10. Akron is 5-5 overall and 3-3 in MAC East play. One more win earns the team bowl eligibility, which is no small feat. After all, last season's 23-21 bowl win over Utah St. was the school's first-ever bowl victory in just the school's second-ever bowl appearance.
Bowling Green: Falcons freshman QB James Morgan has a bright future ahead of him, as 13 of his 14 TD passes on the season have come in the team's last four games, where he's averaged 300.3 YPG through the air. He'll face an Akron defense which is highly vulnerable, allowing 35.6 PPG (110th) on 497.0 YPG (121st). However, BG's defense is a mess, ranking last (128th) among all FBS schools in allowing 45.1 PPG on 505.3 YPG (122nd). If things weren't already bad enough for Bowling Green, the Falcons have committed 26 turnovers, second-most behind Kansas' 29. QBs James Morgan and James Knapke have combined for 22 interceptions, the most of any one team in the nation.
Akron: QB Thomas Woodson has thrown for nearly 2,076 yards, despite missing two games in MAC play with a shoulder injury. Prior to the injury, Woodson had three games with at least three TD passes but he's yet to break that mark since returning. He'll go up against the sieve-like Bowling Green defense, which is allowing 278.2 YPG (122nd) through the air. The Zips' MAC East title hopes are not yet ‘dead' but back-to-back losses have put Akron in a tough spot. Making matters worse, the Zips weren't all that competitive in either contest. Buffalo hadn't won a conference game until beating Akron, 41-20 on Oct. 27, and Toledo outscored the Zips 45-7 over the final three quarters in a blowout 48-17 victory Nov. 2. However, the Zips can still win the East with some help. Akron must win here and would then need an Ohio U loss on Nov. 15th at Central Michigan. That would set up a showdown with the Bobcats in the regular-season finale on Nov. 22nd at home.
The pick: This seems like it should (will?) be a high scoring game and I wouldn't argue against that but just how high scoring is the question? Akron can't control what happens with Ohio next week but a win here not only gets them bowl-eligible (again, a big deal) but keeps them alive for a shot at the MAC title game, at least until the result comes in from the Ohio U/Central Michigan contest in Mount Pleasant on Nov 15th. This over/under number is YUGE and the Under is an 8* play.
Bowling Green: Falcons freshman QB James Morgan has a bright future ahead of him, as 13 of his 14 TD passes on the season have come in the team's last four games, where he's averaged 300.3 YPG through the air. He'll face an Akron defense which is highly vulnerable, allowing 35.6 PPG (110th) on 497.0 YPG (121st). However, BG's defense is a mess, ranking last (128th) among all FBS schools in allowing 45.1 PPG on 505.3 YPG (122nd). If things weren't already bad enough for Bowling Green, the Falcons have committed 26 turnovers, second-most behind Kansas' 29. QBs James Morgan and James Knapke have combined for 22 interceptions, the most of any one team in the nation.
Akron: QB Thomas Woodson has thrown for nearly 2,076 yards, despite missing two games in MAC play with a shoulder injury. Prior to the injury, Woodson had three games with at least three TD passes but he's yet to break that mark since returning. He'll go up against the sieve-like Bowling Green defense, which is allowing 278.2 YPG (122nd) through the air. The Zips' MAC East title hopes are not yet ‘dead' but back-to-back losses have put Akron in a tough spot. Making matters worse, the Zips weren't all that competitive in either contest. Buffalo hadn't won a conference game until beating Akron, 41-20 on Oct. 27, and Toledo outscored the Zips 45-7 over the final three quarters in a blowout 48-17 victory Nov. 2. However, the Zips can still win the East with some help. Akron must win here and would then need an Ohio U loss on Nov. 15th at Central Michigan. That would set up a showdown with the Bobcats in the regular-season finale on Nov. 22nd at home.
The pick: This seems like it should (will?) be a high scoring game and I wouldn't argue against that but just how high scoring is the question? Akron can't control what happens with Ohio next week but a win here not only gets them bowl-eligible (again, a big deal) but keeps them alive for a shot at the MAC title game, at least until the result comes in from the Ohio U/Central Michigan contest in Mount Pleasant on Nov 15th. This over/under number is YUGE and the Under is an 8* play.
