PREMIUM
Rogers' 10* Thurs Night Total MASSACRE >> Won All 3 Primetime Games in Week 7!
(NFL) Jacksonville vs. Tennessee,
10/27/2016 4:25 PM, Score: 22 - 36
Total: 43.00 | 100.00 Under
Result: Win
Total: 43.00 | 100.00 Under
Result: Win
The set-up: The 2-4 Jacksonville Jaguars go on the road to take on the 3-4 Tennessee Titans as week 8 kicks off with its typical Thursday night encounter. Each team entertained loftier expectations this season but both AFC South rivals have sputtered but there's talk from each side of a ‘light at the end of the tunnel.' The Titans have lost both previous division games but with Houston's Monday night loss at Denver, the Titans are tied with the Colts, just one game back of the 4-3 Texans. The cellar-dwelling Jaguars need only win here to reach 3-4, which would drop the Titans into the AFC South ‘basement' and leave then tied with the Colts and just one game back of the first-place Texans, pending Sunday's results.
Jacksonville: The Jags were very optimistic about the team's offense coming into this season, after Blake Bortles improved massively from his rookie year, when he passed for just 2,908 yards with 11 TDs and 17 INTs. Bortles topped 4,000 yards last year (4,428) and owned a 35-18 ratio for an 88.2 QB rating. However, hurt by a rushing attack which give shimn little or no support (Jags rank 30th at 76.7 YPG on 3.7 YPC), he's got just a 9-9 ratio with a QB rating of only 76.4 (he is on pace to pass for around 4,2000 yards, though). The Jags defense allows a better-than-average 325.2 YPG (ranks 9th) but allows 26.7 PPG, to rank 26th.
Tennessee: DeMarco Murray has run for 633 yards (4.6 YPC and 5 TDs), giving Tennessee the 3rd-best rushing attack in the NFL at 143.4 YPG (4.9 YPC). He's also the team's leader in receptions (27), with QB Mariota completing 61.5% with a 12-6 ratio (89.5 QB rating). However, the Titans are averaging just 217.7 YPG through the air, to rank 27th. The defense ranks 10th in yards allowed (338.0) and allows 23.0 PPG (17th). The Titans lost again to the Colts last week (Indy has now won 15 of the L16 meetings!), with Indy getting two 4th-quarter TDs (the 2nd on a 14-yard fumble return) as the Colts won 34-26. The home loss drops Tennessee to 3-17 SU over its last 20 home games, with Mariota going 2-8 as a starter at home.
The pick: It's difficult to lay points with a team that is on a 3-17 SU run at home but equally difficult to take this "small price" with the Jags, who have lost 27 of their last 32 road contests. The Jags entered this season just 14-50 SU their previous four seasons, while the Titans are just 18-46 over that same span, including 5-27 the last two years. A check of the record book reveals that the teams have split their two-game series each of the last seven seasons, so that outcome should surprise no one in 2016. So what to do here? Blake Bortles tossed a career-high five TD passes the last time the Jags visited Nashville (Dec. 6 of 2015), a game in which the Titans won 42-39. Bortles is overdue for a breakout game this season plus the Jags D should have plenty of trouble keeping Murray and Mariota in check. The Over is a 10* play.
Jacksonville: The Jags were very optimistic about the team's offense coming into this season, after Blake Bortles improved massively from his rookie year, when he passed for just 2,908 yards with 11 TDs and 17 INTs. Bortles topped 4,000 yards last year (4,428) and owned a 35-18 ratio for an 88.2 QB rating. However, hurt by a rushing attack which give shimn little or no support (Jags rank 30th at 76.7 YPG on 3.7 YPC), he's got just a 9-9 ratio with a QB rating of only 76.4 (he is on pace to pass for around 4,2000 yards, though). The Jags defense allows a better-than-average 325.2 YPG (ranks 9th) but allows 26.7 PPG, to rank 26th.
Tennessee: DeMarco Murray has run for 633 yards (4.6 YPC and 5 TDs), giving Tennessee the 3rd-best rushing attack in the NFL at 143.4 YPG (4.9 YPC). He's also the team's leader in receptions (27), with QB Mariota completing 61.5% with a 12-6 ratio (89.5 QB rating). However, the Titans are averaging just 217.7 YPG through the air, to rank 27th. The defense ranks 10th in yards allowed (338.0) and allows 23.0 PPG (17th). The Titans lost again to the Colts last week (Indy has now won 15 of the L16 meetings!), with Indy getting two 4th-quarter TDs (the 2nd on a 14-yard fumble return) as the Colts won 34-26. The home loss drops Tennessee to 3-17 SU over its last 20 home games, with Mariota going 2-8 as a starter at home.
The pick: It's difficult to lay points with a team that is on a 3-17 SU run at home but equally difficult to take this "small price" with the Jags, who have lost 27 of their last 32 road contests. The Jags entered this season just 14-50 SU their previous four seasons, while the Titans are just 18-46 over that same span, including 5-27 the last two years. A check of the record book reveals that the teams have split their two-game series each of the last seven seasons, so that outcome should surprise no one in 2016. So what to do here? Blake Bortles tossed a career-high five TD passes the last time the Jags visited Nashville (Dec. 6 of 2015), a game in which the Titans won 42-39. Bortles is overdue for a breakout game this season plus the Jags D should have plenty of trouble keeping Murray and Mariota in check. The Over is a 10* play.
