Stephen Nover's Mountain West Big Ticket - 77% Mountain West
(NCAAB) New Mexico vs. San Diego State, 03/16/2024 6:00 PM, Score: 68 - 61
Point Spread: 2.50 | -110.00 New Mexico (Away)
Result: Win
I like New Mexico to upset San Diego State in the Mountain West Conference Tournament championship game.

The Lobos have looked good in the tournament going 3-0 SU and ATS sparked by guard Jaelen House, who is averaging 21.3 points in the tourney.

New Mexico has a scoring advantage and backcourt edge. San Diego State holds a defensive edge and front-court edge.

The Lobos are not a lock to reach the NCAA Tournament if they lose this game. The key is controlling pace. I don't see the Lobos, based on how they've looked in the tournament, getting dragged down to San Diego State's slow tempo.