PREMIUM
AAA's BIG-CHALK CHOKE-OUT - 378-282 +$22,266 NHL Run!
(NHL) Edmonton vs. Dallas,
01/21/2016 3:30 PM, Score: 2 - 3
Money Line: -200.00 Dallas (Home)
Result: Win
Money Line: -200.00 Dallas (Home)
Result: Win
This is a 6* BIG-CHALK CHOKE-OUT on the Dallas Stars.
While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't prescribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based on a few different factors:
Motivation: Clearly the Stars are going to be the more motivated of the two clubs, they've lost eight of their last ten, including four in a row. After a two game win streak, the Oilers fell 6-4 at Tampa Bay on Tuesday.
Revenge: The Stars fell 2-1 in OT to the Oilers on December 4th.
ATS statistics: Note that Edmonton is 4-10 (-4.8 units) this season following a loss by two goals or more and just 5-15 (-8.8 units) following a non-conference contest, while Dallas is 5-3 (+1.7 units) in its last eight in trying to revenge a loss vs. an opponent.
The bottom line: Despite the recent slide, the Stars are still 29-13-3 overall this year, including 17-5 at home. The lowly Oilers are just 19-24-4 overall and a brutal 6-15-3 on the road. We think DALLAS bounces back with a resounding effort in front of the home town crowd.
AAA Sports
While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't prescribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based on a few different factors:
Motivation: Clearly the Stars are going to be the more motivated of the two clubs, they've lost eight of their last ten, including four in a row. After a two game win streak, the Oilers fell 6-4 at Tampa Bay on Tuesday.
Revenge: The Stars fell 2-1 in OT to the Oilers on December 4th.
ATS statistics: Note that Edmonton is 4-10 (-4.8 units) this season following a loss by two goals or more and just 5-15 (-8.8 units) following a non-conference contest, while Dallas is 5-3 (+1.7 units) in its last eight in trying to revenge a loss vs. an opponent.
The bottom line: Despite the recent slide, the Stars are still 29-13-3 overall this year, including 17-5 at home. The lowly Oilers are just 19-24-4 overall and a brutal 6-15-3 on the road. We think DALLAS bounces back with a resounding effort in front of the home town crowd.
AAA Sports
