This is a 10* BLOCKBUSTER on Kentucky.

While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't prescribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

Motivation: John Calipari's squad was ranked No. 1 in the nation on November 23rd, but has since fallen to No. 23 in the rankings, most recently losing 75-70 at Auburn on Saturday.

Revenge: The last time Kentucky visited Fayetteville in 2014, Arkansas won 87-85 in OT on a buzzer-beating dunk. Arkansas has taken three straight in the series in front of the home town crowd.

Letdown spot: After winning three straight, the Razorbacks fell 76-74 at LSU on Saturday. Gaining that momentum back after that heart-breaking setback, especially against this focused and hungry/determined Wildcats team, is easier said than done.

ATS statistics: Note that Kentucky is 5-3 ATS in its last eight off a loss vs. a conference rival and 5-3 ATS this season vs. teams with winning records, while Arkansas is just 7-8 ATS in its last 15 off a loss vs. a conference rival.

The bottom line: In our professional opinion, this one sets up perfectly for KENTUCKY.

AAA Sports