PREMIUM
AAA's EAST-COAST ASSASSIN - +$44,000 NBA RUN!
(NBA) Milwaukee vs. Miami,
01/19/2016 2:30 PM, Score: 91 - 79
Point Spread: -5.50 | -102.00 Miami (Home)
Result: Loss
Point Spread: -5.50 | -102.00 Miami (Home)
Result: Loss
This is an 8* EAST-COAST ASSASSIN on the Miami Heat.
While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't prescribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based on a few different factors:
Home cooking: The Heat return home from a six-game road trip, going just 2-4 in the process. Miami will be extra motivated to take advantage of this opportunity, as the team will then have to gear up for another five game trip starting on Thursday (note that the Heat are 15-8 SU in front of the home town crowd this season).
Revenge: The Bucks took all four games over the Heat last year.
ATS statistics: Note that Milwaukee is just 1-5 ATS this year after a victory by ten points or more and just 3-4 ATS when playing with two days of rest, while Miami is 6-3 ATS this season following a loss by ten points or more and 2-1 ATS after scoring 85 points or less.
The bottom line: Miami is banged up, but what team isn't at this point of the season? After a lacklustre trip and with another big one on the horizon, we think the HEAT come into this one focused, put the foot on the gas and don't let up until the final horn; lay the points.
AAA Sports
While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't prescribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based on a few different factors:
Home cooking: The Heat return home from a six-game road trip, going just 2-4 in the process. Miami will be extra motivated to take advantage of this opportunity, as the team will then have to gear up for another five game trip starting on Thursday (note that the Heat are 15-8 SU in front of the home town crowd this season).
Revenge: The Bucks took all four games over the Heat last year.
ATS statistics: Note that Milwaukee is just 1-5 ATS this year after a victory by ten points or more and just 3-4 ATS when playing with two days of rest, while Miami is 6-3 ATS this season following a loss by ten points or more and 2-1 ATS after scoring 85 points or less.
The bottom line: Miami is banged up, but what team isn't at this point of the season? After a lacklustre trip and with another big one on the horizon, we think the HEAT come into this one focused, put the foot on the gas and don't let up until the final horn; lay the points.
AAA Sports
