PREMIUM
AAA's 10* TOTAL OF MONTH (6-1/86% GOM/GOY RUN!)
(NBA) Chicago vs. Dallas,
01/05/2018 3:30 PM, Score: 127 - 124
Total: 213.50 | -105.00 Over
Result: Loss
Total: 213.50 | -105.00 Over
Result: Loss
This is a 10* TOTAL OF THE MONTH on the UNDER between the Chicago Bulls and the Dallas Mavericks.
We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.
This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant O/U ATS statistics and common sense:
As note that Chicago has seen the total go UNDER the number in six of ten already this year after allowing 115 points or more (just lost 124-115 to Toronto) and in ten of 15 against teams with losing records this year, while Dallas has seen the total go UNDER the number in both games that it's played in this year after playing to three or more consecutive OVERS and in ten of 19 in front of the home town crowd this season.
The bottom line: Dallas was on quite the roll, going into its home game against the Warriors having won four straight, but after falling 125-123 to the defending champs, we're expecting a predictable letdown here from the home side. The Bulls will be desperate to break a three-game slide and the last thing they'll want to do is to turn this one into a "track meet" with the Mavs. When you add it all up, this number is indeed a little high. Play the UNDER.
AAA Sports
We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.
This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant O/U ATS statistics and common sense:
As note that Chicago has seen the total go UNDER the number in six of ten already this year after allowing 115 points or more (just lost 124-115 to Toronto) and in ten of 15 against teams with losing records this year, while Dallas has seen the total go UNDER the number in both games that it's played in this year after playing to three or more consecutive OVERS and in ten of 19 in front of the home town crowd this season.
The bottom line: Dallas was on quite the roll, going into its home game against the Warriors having won four straight, but after falling 125-123 to the defending champs, we're expecting a predictable letdown here from the home side. The Bulls will be desperate to break a three-game slide and the last thing they'll want to do is to turn this one into a "track meet" with the Mavs. When you add it all up, this number is indeed a little high. Play the UNDER.
AAA Sports
