AAA's EAST-COAST TOTAL EXPRESS (ALL AABBOOAARRDD!)
(NBA) Toronto vs. Milwaukee, 01/05/2018 3:00 PM, Score: 129 - 110
Total: 216.50 | -105.00 Over
Result: Loss
This is an 8* TOTAL EXPRESS on the UNDER between the Milwaukee Bucks and the Toronto Raptors.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.

This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant O/U ATS statistics and common sense:

As note that Toronto has seen the total go UNDER the number in four of its last five after scoring 123 points or more in its previous contest (note that the Raptors are coming off back-to-back wins, a 131-127 OT victory over these very Bucks, before a 124-115 win at Chicago in its most recent. Milwaukee has seen the total go OVER the number in two straight as well, which is significant as note that the Bucks have seen the total go UNDER the number in five of their last seven after playing to two or more consecutive OVERs.

The bottom line: Milwaukee is in Washington tomorrow night, while the Raptors enjoy two nights off before a game in Brooklyn after this one. After the epic OT game in Toronto, both teams played to another high-scoring game in between. We think these teams finally come in "gassed" though as we look for this one to sneak UNDER once it's all said and done.

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