AAA's EAST-COAST TOTAL EXPRESS (+$7K ALL NBA YTD!)
(NBA) Milwaukee vs. Toronto, 01/01/2018 2:30 PM, Score: 127 - 131
Total: 214.50 | -110.00 Under
Result: Win
This is an 8* TOTAL EXPRESS on the OVER between the Milwaukee Bucks and the Toronto Raptors.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.

This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant O/U ATS statistics and common sense:

As note that Milwaukee has seen the total go OVER the number in four of five already this year off an upset win as an underdog (most recently beat the Thunder 97-95 as 6.5 points dogs) and in six of nine when playing with two days rest, while Toronto has seen the total go OVER the number in eight of 13 this season off a win by ten points or more (just hammered ATL 111-98) and interestingly in three of four already against Central division opponents.

The bottom line: These teams have been playing to some lower-scoring affairs of late, but the numbers and situation both finally point to a higher-scoring shootout this time around. Play the OVER.

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