AAA's WEEK 17 3-GAME BLOWOUT DESTRUCTION PASS (SWEEP-IT-UP!)
(NFL) New Orleans vs. Tampa Bay, 12/31/2017 11:25 AM, Score: 24 - 31
Total: 48.00 | -105.00 Under
Result: Win
This is an 8* play on the OVER between the Saints and the Buccaneers.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.

This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant O/U ATS statistics and common sense:

As note that New Orleans has seen the total go OVER the number in three of four road games already this year when the total in the contest is set between 42.5 and 51 points and in 12 of its last 15 against teams with losing records, while Tampa Bay has seen the total go OVER the number in three of its last four after five or more consecutive SU losses.

The bottom line: Tampa plays with revenge after falling to New Orleans 30-10 earlier in the season. The Saints want to hit the playoffs on a high note and neither of these sides will be rolling over today. When you take into account the above strong O/U trends, all signs do indeed point to the OVER as the savvy move in this contest.

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