AAA's WEEK 17 3-GAME BLOWOUT DESTRUCTION PASS (SWEEP-IT-UP!)
(NFL) Buffalo vs. Miami, 12/31/2017 11:25 AM, Score: 22 - 16
Point Spread: 3.00 | -120.00 Miami (Home)
Result: Loss
This is an 8* play on the Miami Dolphins.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.

This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and common sense:

As note that Buffalo is just 1-2 ATS off a divisional game this year and just 2-4 ATS on the road, while Miami is 3-1 ATS at home already this season and 2-1 ATS in its last three in trying to revenge a loss against an opponent.

The bottom line: We don't think that the home field advantage can be overlooked as a very real factor in this matchup. The Bills are just 2-5 on the road, while the Fish are 4-2 at home. MIAMI won't be going down without a fight tonight, play on the Dolphins.

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