PREMIUM
AAA's WEEK 17 3-GAME BLOWOUT DESTRUCTION PASS (SWEEP-IT-UP!)
(NFL) Cincinnati vs. Baltimore,
12/31/2017 11:25 AM, Score: 31 - 27
Total: 40.00 | -105.00 Under
Result: Win
Total: 40.00 | -105.00 Under
Result: Win
This is an 8* play on the OVER between the Bengals and the Ravens.
We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.
This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and common sense:
As note that Cincinnati has seen the total go OVER the number in three of four already this year as an underdog in the 3.5 to 9.5 points range and in two of three road games when the total in the contest is set between 38.5 and 42 points, while Baltimore has seen the total go OVER the number in all three games that it's played in so far this after playing to two or more consecutive SU wins.
The bottom line: This is a big game for the Ravens, who will need to win this game and get some outside help for a spot in the playoffs. The Bengals won't be in the postseason, but they come in off a 26-17 win over Detroit and they'll be looking to not only play spoiler with a big victory today, but also to atone for a 20-0 setback to the Ravens earlier in the season. We think this one will be much more "wide open" than what the books would like us to believe. Play on the OVER.
AAA Sports
We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.
This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and common sense:
As note that Cincinnati has seen the total go OVER the number in three of four already this year as an underdog in the 3.5 to 9.5 points range and in two of three road games when the total in the contest is set between 38.5 and 42 points, while Baltimore has seen the total go OVER the number in all three games that it's played in so far this after playing to two or more consecutive SU wins.
The bottom line: This is a big game for the Ravens, who will need to win this game and get some outside help for a spot in the playoffs. The Bengals won't be in the postseason, but they come in off a 26-17 win over Detroit and they'll be looking to not only play spoiler with a big victory today, but also to atone for a 20-0 setback to the Ravens earlier in the season. We think this one will be much more "wide open" than what the books would like us to believe. Play on the OVER.
AAA Sports
