PREMIUM
AAA's 10* NON-CONF TOTAL "ASSASSIN!" (+$18,500 ALL PICKS IN DECEMBER!)
(NBA) Cleveland vs. Utah,
12/30/2017 3:00 PM, Score: 101 - 104
Total: 206.50 | -110.00 Under
Result: Loss
Total: 206.50 | -110.00 Under
Result: Loss
This is a 10* TOTAL ASSASSIN on the OVER between the Cleveland Cavaliers and the Utah Jazz.
We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.
This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant O/U ATS statistics and common sense:
As note that Cleveland has seen the total go OVER the number in six of ten non-conference games this year, in six of eight off an upset loss as a favorite (note that the Cavs have lost three of their last four, including two in a row, most recently a 109-95 setback at Sacramento) and in three of four after a loss by ten points or more, while Utah has seen the total go OVER the number in four of six already this season after three or more consecutive losses and in 11 of 19 against good offensive teams which average 106 plus points per contest.
The bottom line: This is the Cavs final road game before a couple of nights off and a home matchup against the Blazers on January 3rd. After back-to-back losses and with a chance to close the 2017 calendar year with a big win, Cleveland won't be lacking for motivation tonight. Utah plays with revenge after falling 109-100 at Cleveland earlier in the year. The Jazz are injured, but they also won't be lacking any motivation, as they've lost eight of ten, including three in a row. When you add it all up, this number is indeed a little low. Play the OVER.
AAA Sports
We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.
This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant O/U ATS statistics and common sense:
As note that Cleveland has seen the total go OVER the number in six of ten non-conference games this year, in six of eight off an upset loss as a favorite (note that the Cavs have lost three of their last four, including two in a row, most recently a 109-95 setback at Sacramento) and in three of four after a loss by ten points or more, while Utah has seen the total go OVER the number in four of six already this season after three or more consecutive losses and in 11 of 19 against good offensive teams which average 106 plus points per contest.
The bottom line: This is the Cavs final road game before a couple of nights off and a home matchup against the Blazers on January 3rd. After back-to-back losses and with a chance to close the 2017 calendar year with a big win, Cleveland won't be lacking for motivation tonight. Utah plays with revenge after falling 109-100 at Cleveland earlier in the year. The Jazz are injured, but they also won't be lacking any motivation, as they've lost eight of ten, including three in a row. When you add it all up, this number is indeed a little low. Play the OVER.
AAA Sports
