PREMIUM
AAA's 10* UNDERDOG SUPER-SHOCKER (+$19,000 ALL PICKS IN DECEMBER!)
(NBA) Detroit vs. Orlando,
12/28/2017 2:00 PM, Score: 89 - 102
Point Spread: 5.50 | -121.00 Orlando (Home)
Result: Win
Point Spread: 5.50 | -121.00 Orlando (Home)
Result: Win
This is a 10* UNDERDOG SUPER-SHOCKER on Orlando Magic.
We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.
This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and common sense:
As note that Detroit is just 3-4 ATS in its last seven after allowing 85 points or less and only 5-6 ATS this year against teams with losing records, while Orlando is 3-1 ATS in its last four after scoring 90 points or less in its previous contest.
The bottom line: Despite being injured and undermanned, clearly the Magic are going to be the more "desperate" team today, as they come in having lost nine straight, most recently a 107-89 setback in Miami. Orlando also plays with revenge after falling to the Pistons 114-110 in early December. We think Detroit has a letdown here, it comes in having won five of its last six and with a night off before a home game against the Spurs, there's no doubt that in some small way this also sets up as a look ahead spot for the visitors. We're banking on the MAGIC leaving everything they have on the floor tonight.
AAA Sports
We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.
This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and common sense:
As note that Detroit is just 3-4 ATS in its last seven after allowing 85 points or less and only 5-6 ATS this year against teams with losing records, while Orlando is 3-1 ATS in its last four after scoring 90 points or less in its previous contest.
The bottom line: Despite being injured and undermanned, clearly the Magic are going to be the more "desperate" team today, as they come in having lost nine straight, most recently a 107-89 setback in Miami. Orlando also plays with revenge after falling to the Pistons 114-110 in early December. We think Detroit has a letdown here, it comes in having won five of its last six and with a night off before a home game against the Spurs, there's no doubt that in some small way this also sets up as a look ahead spot for the visitors. We're banking on the MAGIC leaving everything they have on the floor tonight.
AAA Sports
