AAA's 10* CBB "ASSASSIN!" (OFF 4-0 SWEEP, NOW +$19K ALL IN DEC!)
(NCAAB) Southern Mississippi vs. Marshall, 12/28/2017 2:00 PM, Score: 66 - 85
Point Spread: -11.00 | -110.00 Marshall (Home)
Result: Win
This is a 10* ASSASSIN on Marshall.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.

This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and common sense:

As note that Southern Miss is just 1-2 ATS on the road and only 3-4 ATS as an underdog this season, while Marshall is 3-2 ATS at home this season and 26-14 ATS in its last 40 when playing the role of favorite.

The bottom line: Marshall is 8-0 SU at home, while USM is just 1-3 in lined road games. Note that this is a revenge game as well for the Herd after falling 91-76 to Southern Miss last February. But that was then and this is now. MARSHALL has distinct advantages across the board and we don't expect it to have a letdown here. Lay the points.

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