AAA's ALAMO BOWL SUPER BLOWOUT (UP HUGE ALL SPORTS IN 2016!)
(NCAAF) Oklahoma State vs. Colorado, 12/29/2016 4:00 PM, Score: 38 - 8
Point Spread: -3.00 | 102.00 Colorado (Home)
Result: Loss
This is an 8* SUPER BLOWOUT on Colorado.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.

This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics:

As note that Oklahoma State is just 3-4 ATS in its alst seven when playing with two weeks or more of rest and just 3-5 ATS in its last eight off a loss against a conference rival, while Colorado is 6-2 ATS as a favorite this year and a perfect 3-0 ATS in non-conference games.

The bottom line: Both teams lost in their respective championship games. These teams are similar in both offensive and defensive statistics, but the Buffs' defense is better and ultimately, we think their Top 25 unit will be the difference maker in the end. Lay the points, play on COLORADO.

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