The NCAAB Dog with bite that can win outright is on Georgia. Game 649 at 8:00 eastern. The simulation model has the Bulldogs as an outright winner and they have several big advantages in this one. Looking at the RPI Scale we see Georgia ranked 73 with a 26 SOS. They are 7-0 this year vs teams ranked 100 to 200 in the RPI Like Miss St who checks in at 171 with a 96 Strength of schedule. Miss. St is 1-9 vs top 100 teams. They are 0-3 in the series and 14-40 long term and 3-9 of late off a conference win. They allowed a season low 22% from the field in their win over Arkansas so they could turn up flat tonight. Georgia has covered 5 of 7 as a dog from +3.5 to +6 and 3 of 4 after allowing 80+ points. They are 4-0 off a conference loss, 14-3 including 3-0 this year vs losing teams and allowed 50% or higher shooting for just the 2nd time this season in their blowout loss to Kentucky where they shot a season low 22%. That blowout causes an over reactionary line adjustment here tonight. So we have a live dog off their worst shooting performance, vs an opponent off their best defensive performance. Look for a role reversal here tonight. Take Georgia Plus the points.