RV: FREE GAME 5 N.L.D.S PLAY METS AT DODGERS
(MLB) NY Mets vs. LA Dodgers, 10/15/2015 4:07 PM, Score: 3 - 2
Money Line: 142.00 NY Mets (Away)
Result: Win
Game 5 National League Divisional series Mets at Dodgers at 8:05 eastern

Pitching Matchup: LA Dodgers have Z. Greinke vs NY.Mets J. DeGrom. In this series deciding game, the Dodgers have a slight edge as Greinke has solid numbers. He is 14-4 and has won 10 straight in home team starts, and has a 1.52 home Era. In his 3 starts this year vs the Mets he has allowed 4 runs in 21 innings with LA winning 2 of the 3 games, the lone loss to DeGrom in NY. Greinke has won 6 straight October Home starts. DeGrom has not allowed a run in 2 starts vs LA this season going nearly 15 inning with 21 strikeouts, including a game 1 win here 5 days ago. DeGrom is 6-0 vs N.L. West teams this year and the Mets have won 9 of his last 10 road Starts as the Humble badass has a 0.53 Era in his last 3 starts. As for Batter vs pitcher only 2 guys in the LA Lineup have hurt Degrom. Adrian Gonzalez is hitting .375 and Andre Ethier hits .300. Utely also hits .300 but may not be in the lineup. As for the Mets the sample sizes are small but D. Wright hits .333, Murphy .308, W.Flores .308 and Travis Darnaud hits .333 of Greinke. The Mets have the better overall bullpen with more depth and better numbers and would have an advantage if the game went long.


Intangibles: The Dodgers have poise as they have been in these type of games before having made the playoffs the last few seasons only to fall short. Some suggest this could be there year, as they take on a Mets team making their first trip to the playoffs in 9 years. The Mets overall have the better roster but due to a late season swoon in the last week they were passed by the Dodgers and relinquished home field advantage. The good news is that home field advantage has not meant that much in this round.



Trends are your friends: In Divisional series play the home teams advantage has been neutralized as these teams are just 10-10. While the Dodgers have home field advantage the Mets have some interesting factors in their favor here tonight. Teams in this round who win game 1 have won the series 75% of the time and road teams are on a 6-0 run in that scenario heading into the day. The Dodgers are a dismal 0-12 in any series where they lose game 1. The Mets in all games are on a 4-0 run on the road off a home loss.



Prognosis: In conclusion the recommendation is on the NY. Mets. The Mets should be able to stay in this game and do enough offensively to at least match what LA can do against Degrom. If this game is a 1 run game in the later innings the Mets have the better overall depth and will likely follow Degrom with Syndergaard and Familia. The Dodgers could turn to Kershaw for an inning or two the most and their closer, But after that their is a bit of a drop off in pitching depth. The Mets have shown they can win here taking 3 of the 5 games this year and in a series that has been a zig zag thus far. We look for the Mets to beat the Dodgers and advance to the N.LC.S against the Chicago Cubs. RV