PREMIUM
RV: 7* NBA PLAYOFF 36-2 GAME OF THE YEAR ON FATHERS DAY
(NBA) Miami vs. San Antonio,
06/15/2014 4:00 PM, Score: 87 - 104
Point Spread: -5.50 | -109.00 San Antonio (Home)
Result: Win
Point Spread: -5.50 | -109.00 San Antonio (Home)
Result: Win
2014 NBA Finals round Game 5
Historical Indicators.
When leading playoff series 3-games-1, the San Antonio Spurs have a series record of 14-1 (with an active 13-series winning streak) and a Game 5 record of 10-5. When trailing a playoff series 3-games-1, the Miami Heat have a series record of 1-2 and a Game 5 record of 1-2. This is the 12th time that the road team has won Games 3-4 in the NBA Finals, and the first time since 2007,in which the San Antonio Spurs did so against the Cleveland Cavaliers also a Lebron James Led team. On the eleven previous occasions where the road team won Games 3-4 in NBA Finals, the largest single game margin of victory was 17 points (by the Philadelphia 76ers over the L.A. Lakers in Game 3, in the 1983 NBA Finals); in contrast, San Antonio won Game 3 by 19 points and Game 4 by 21 points. The 21-point halftime lead by San Antonio in Game 3 is the third largest halftime lead ever by a road team in a NBA Finals game, while the 19-point halftime lead by San Antonio in Game 4 is the fifth largest halftime lead ever by a road team. We illustrate this to show the Spurs dominance over the Heat regardless of Adjustments or venue. As seen be low in the grid all teams are 14-4 in game 5 at home if they won game 1 at home, lost game 2 at home and won both games 3 and on the road, only one other time has it happened in the finals an that team won.
The fact remains that the winner in this series is 20-2 to the spread. The Spurs are 7-0 straight up and ats at home off off a road dog spread win by 14 or more points and win by an average 111-94 score in those games. Playing against Miami here is that rested road dogs of 5 or more with a total of 190 or more are 0-15 straight up and have failed to cover 9 straight times if they are a home favorite with a total of 190 or more and lost to the spread by 21 or more points while scoring 90 or less. The Heat are just 1-5 ats as a road dog from +3.5 to +6. So while there is a system or two that play on road dogs in the later rounds that are off a home favored loss, they are not as relevant here. The history of this series, with the Spurs losing in 7 last season to Miami will be plenty of motivation. Miami made their adjustments and if they could not regroup at home after getting pasted, their is no reason to think they will do so tonight. Miami may stick around in this game, even through the 4th Quarter. However the Spurs have too many weapons that are playing with supreme confidence. Lebron will once again shoulder the load and play extended minutes. However the fact that they are in a final and already talking about clearing cap space for Carmelo Anthony speaks volumes on how they really feel about this roster. D-Wade has not had any lift and maybe can get you 20, but his defense has not been good and the whole Heat team has been exposed by the Spurs ball movement. They look lost out their. The Heat have lost and failed to cover 3 of the last 4 here and will likely get worn down late. Spurs celebrate tonight.
HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES: Leading WLWW @ HHVV:
Considering win order; considering site order: The team leading WLWW with site order HHVV (San Antonio) has the following best-of-7 playoff series and games record through the 2014 NBA Semifinals rounds:
series record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 60-5 (.923)
series record, all best-of-7 sports, Finals round: 11-2 (.846)
series record, NBA only, all rounds: 18-0 (1.000)
series record, NBA only, Finals round: 1-0 (1.000)
Game 5 record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 43-22 (.662)
Game 5 record, all best-of-7 sports, Finals round: 7-6 (.538)
Game 5 record, NBA only, all rounds: 14-4 (.778)
Game 5 record, NBA only, Finals round: 1-0 (1.000)
Historical Indicators.
When leading playoff series 3-games-1, the San Antonio Spurs have a series record of 14-1 (with an active 13-series winning streak) and a Game 5 record of 10-5. When trailing a playoff series 3-games-1, the Miami Heat have a series record of 1-2 and a Game 5 record of 1-2. This is the 12th time that the road team has won Games 3-4 in the NBA Finals, and the first time since 2007,in which the San Antonio Spurs did so against the Cleveland Cavaliers also a Lebron James Led team. On the eleven previous occasions where the road team won Games 3-4 in NBA Finals, the largest single game margin of victory was 17 points (by the Philadelphia 76ers over the L.A. Lakers in Game 3, in the 1983 NBA Finals); in contrast, San Antonio won Game 3 by 19 points and Game 4 by 21 points. The 21-point halftime lead by San Antonio in Game 3 is the third largest halftime lead ever by a road team in a NBA Finals game, while the 19-point halftime lead by San Antonio in Game 4 is the fifth largest halftime lead ever by a road team. We illustrate this to show the Spurs dominance over the Heat regardless of Adjustments or venue. As seen be low in the grid all teams are 14-4 in game 5 at home if they won game 1 at home, lost game 2 at home and won both games 3 and on the road, only one other time has it happened in the finals an that team won.
The fact remains that the winner in this series is 20-2 to the spread. The Spurs are 7-0 straight up and ats at home off off a road dog spread win by 14 or more points and win by an average 111-94 score in those games. Playing against Miami here is that rested road dogs of 5 or more with a total of 190 or more are 0-15 straight up and have failed to cover 9 straight times if they are a home favorite with a total of 190 or more and lost to the spread by 21 or more points while scoring 90 or less. The Heat are just 1-5 ats as a road dog from +3.5 to +6. So while there is a system or two that play on road dogs in the later rounds that are off a home favored loss, they are not as relevant here. The history of this series, with the Spurs losing in 7 last season to Miami will be plenty of motivation. Miami made their adjustments and if they could not regroup at home after getting pasted, their is no reason to think they will do so tonight. Miami may stick around in this game, even through the 4th Quarter. However the Spurs have too many weapons that are playing with supreme confidence. Lebron will once again shoulder the load and play extended minutes. However the fact that they are in a final and already talking about clearing cap space for Carmelo Anthony speaks volumes on how they really feel about this roster. D-Wade has not had any lift and maybe can get you 20, but his defense has not been good and the whole Heat team has been exposed by the Spurs ball movement. They look lost out their. The Heat have lost and failed to cover 3 of the last 4 here and will likely get worn down late. Spurs celebrate tonight.
HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES: Leading WLWW @ HHVV:
Considering win order; considering site order: The team leading WLWW with site order HHVV (San Antonio) has the following best-of-7 playoff series and games record through the 2014 NBA Semifinals rounds:
series record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 60-5 (.923)
series record, all best-of-7 sports, Finals round: 11-2 (.846)
series record, NBA only, all rounds: 18-0 (1.000)
series record, NBA only, Finals round: 1-0 (1.000)
Game 5 record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 43-22 (.662)
Game 5 record, all best-of-7 sports, Finals round: 7-6 (.538)
Game 5 record, NBA only, all rounds: 14-4 (.778)
Game 5 record, NBA only, Finals round: 1-0 (1.000)
