CFB 5*
(NCAAF) San Diego State vs. Air Force, 10/23/2021 7:00 PM, Score: 20 - 14
Point Spread: -3.00 | -108.00 Air Force (Home)
Result: Loss
San Diego State @ Air Force 7:00 PM ET
Game# 405-406
Play On: Air Force -3.0 (5*)

We have an unranked Air Force team (6-1) as a favorite over #22 and undefeated San Diego State (6-0). With all due respected to those who vote in the national polls, but I will always trust the oddsmakers ability to post an accurate line compared their ability to rank teams, and especially so when it’s beyond the Top 10. Air Force will enter this game on a 4-game win streak.

Any home team with a point-spread of +12.0 to -12.0 that’s coming off 3 or more wins in a row, and they’re facing an opponent (San Diego State) coming off 5 or more wins in a row, resulted in those home teams going 23-2 ATS and 22-3 SU since 2017. Bet on Air Force minus the small number.