This is a 10* BOOKIEKILLER on Louisville.

Miami is 7-1 SU and 3-4-1 ATS. Louisville is 0-7 SU and 0-7 ATS.

Winning (can) breeds complacency, while losing becomes a point of motivation for teams.

The public likes to "auto-fade" the Cardinals whenever they can now, and so I think this line is a little over-adjusted to where it really should be.

Miami is fresh off a win over Rutgers, while Louisville fell by 25 to Maryland on Tuesday.

The Canes were "lucky" though, as they actually trailed by as much as 12 points at one point in their last outing.

Maryland is 7-0 though. This is a matchup more suited for the Cardinal and while I'm going to stop short in calling for an outright upset, I do definitely think the stage is set for a much tighter battle than what this spread is suggesting.

I just think this spread is a couple points higher than it (normally) would/should be. Grab the points, the play is LOUISVILLE.

Good luck, NP