Money Line: 302.00 Philadelphia (Away)
Yes, Garret Cole is better than Jake Arrieta and yes the Yankees are better on paper than the Phillies overall.
But all of that said, I still think that the home side is vastly over-priced here and I actually give Philadelphia and Arrieta much more than just a punchers chance in this one.
Arrieta makes his long awaited season debut, as the Phillies have been sidelined for the last week with Covid issues. The team is refocussed and ready to go though and I think it actually the benefits the club here.
Arrieta was fully healthy in spring and finished 2019 with a healthy 110:51 K:BB.
It's hard to say anything negative about Cole, so I won't bother. As stated off the top, considering the overall circumstances and situation, I believe the home side is completely overpriced in the first game of this series; great value on the underachieving Phillies.
Good luck, NP