NBA Total of the Month
(NBA) Boston vs. Brooklyn, 05/22/2021 8:00 PM, Score: 93 - 104
Total: 231.50 | -106.00 Over
Result: Loss
ASA top play on 10* OVER 231.5 Boston Celtics vs Brooklyn Nets, 8 PM ET - We love this situation for an Over bet as the Celtics last game against a high scoring, fast paced Wizards team resulted in an Under, which influenced the bookmakers here. Looking at that Celtics/Wizards game we see those two teams scored 218 total points but they attempted 188 field goal attempts (league average is 176) but shot just 43% and 40% from the field. Washington was a dismal 3 of 21 from the 3-point line or 14%. We make that comparison because the Nets and Wizards are similar in style of play. The Nets are the #1 overall shooting team in the league and 2nd in 3-point percentage at 39.2%. They average 118.6PPG which is 2nd in the league. Boston doesn’t defend the 3-point line well with the 22nd highest percentage allowed from beyond the arc. The Celtics have a top 10 shooting offense from beyond the arc and are 10th in the NBA when it comes to offensive efficiency. Both teams are 15th or worse in defensive efficiency with the Nets ranking 22nd. These two teams met on April 23rd but both teams were missing key offensive contributors with Walker out for the C’s while the Nets played without KD and Harden. Based on our math model this game is going to result in the 240’s. Bet OVER!