MLB MONEY LINE ROUT
(MLB) Miami vs. LA Dodgers, 05/16/2021 4:10 PM, Score: 3 - 2
Money Line: -138.00 LA Dodgers (Home)
Result: Loss
#908 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* Los Angeles Dodgers -140 over Miami Marlins, Sunday at 4:10 PM ET - This line has dropped considerably from its opener and that has put the Dodgers money line in a very playable range here. The reason for the drop is because Pablo Lopez occasionally comes up with big starts for the Marlins plus the Dodgers are using an opener for this start as it is a bullpen game and also LA's Corey Seager got hurt in yesterday's game. However, lets now address each of these items as, the fact is, all of the above has led to phenomenal line value on Los Angeles at home. Miami's Lopez is known for getting roughed up on the road and has allowed 6 earned runs in 2 of his 4 road starts this season. His road struggles should not come as a surprise. In 2018 Lopez had a 4.84 ERA on the road and he followed this up with a 7.36 ERA on the road in 2019 and a 4.91 ERA away from home last season. All of these stats pale in comparison to his success at home. In other words, fading Lopez on the road is the best way to go and though the Dodgers have a couple injury issues (including Seager) anyone in baseball would take their existing lineup over the current Marlins lineup any day! As for this being a bullpen game with Jimmy Nelson as an opener, note that the Dodgers bullpen is in good shape after they got a fantastic 7 inning start from Trevor Bauer yesterday. Also, the LA bullpen has a 2.72 ERA at home this season! Overall the Dodgers are 12-5 at home this season while the Marlins are 3-9 in day games this season! Also, Miami has lost 6 of 8 games while LA is on a 4-game winning streak. You will rarely ever get the Dodgers at home in a -140 price range with this many edges in a match-up and we'll take it! This one will be all Dodgers per our computer math model. We will grab the home team at a reasonable price on the money line in this one and bet LA DODGERS -140