ASA TOP PLAY 10* ON Run Line: Tampa Bay Rays (+1.5 runs) over Los Angeles Dodgers, Tuesday at 8:09 PM ET

The betting markets love the Dodgers. That makes sense too because they are, of course, a great team. But, at the same time, the Rays are very strong as well and yet don't get near the respect from the betting markets. Keep in mind the Dodgers have lost each of the last two times they have made it to the World Series and Clayton Kershaw certainly has his hand in some of those struggles. Now he enters this one not 100% healthy in our opinion. In his first start of the post-season he absolutely dominated the Brewers with 13 strikeouts in an 8-inning gem. However, since then Kershaw has dealt with some back spasm issues and he has allowed 7 earned runs on 13 hits (including 3 homers) in his last 11 innings. The Rays will take advantage here and the hard-throwing Tyler Glasnow could give the Dodgers some trouble. He has allowed only 11 hits in his last 13 and 1 / 3 innings and has piled up 25 strikeouts in his 19 and 1 / 3 innings in this post-season. The Rays are 9-5 in this post-season and 2 of those losses came by a single run. That means if you had the Rays +1.5 in all their post-season games you would be 11-3 for a 79% win rate. Our computer math model is reflecting great potential for an upset and, if Rays fall short, a tight loss. That being said, the value is with laying a very small price to have the 1.5 runs on your side with underdog TB in this one. Bet the Tampa Bay Rays +1.5 runs in evening action Tuesday.