3rd of 3 in NFL 3-pack Sunday
(NFL) Cleveland vs. Pittsburgh, 10/18/2020 1:00 PM, Score: 7 - 38
Total: 50.50 | -110.00 Over
Result: Loss
#261/262 ASA TOP PLAY 10* ON Over 51 Points – Cleveland @ Pittsburgh, Sunday at 1:00 PM ET - Pittsburgh’s overall defensive numbers this year are very good, however they’ve played a VERY easy schedule of offenses thus far. In 3 of their 4 games they’ve faced the Giants, Eagles, and Broncos who currently rank 29th, 28th, and 27th in offensive efficiency (YPP offense). Two of those three actually scored more points vs the Steelers than their season average and the other, the Giants, hit their average PPG right on the head. Last week Pittsburgh faced an Eagle offense that was averaging an NFL worst 4.5 yards per play entering the game. Philly eclipsed that average by nearly a yard and a half last week putting up 5.9 YPP vs Pittsburgh. The Eagles came into the game averaging 21 PPG and put up 29 last Sunday. Now they face a Cleveland offense that is rolling scoring 30+ points in 4 straight games. If you throw out their clunker in week 1 @ Baltimore, the Browns are averaging 37.5 PPG over their last 4. That includes a 32 point output last week vs the Colts who entered the game as the #1 overall defense in the NFL. The problem with Cleveland isn’t their offense, it’s their defense. They’ve allowed 30 or more in 3 of their 5 games and haven’t allowed less than 20 in any game this season. Pittsburgh’s offense scored 38 points last week on a solid Philly defense (#6 in YPP defense) and they’ve scored at least 26 in every game this year. The weather looks great here with light winds and no precipitation and we expect an AFC North shootout. Take the OVER.