2nd of 3 in CFB 3-pack Saturday
(NCAAF) Pittsburgh vs. Boston College, 10/10/2020 4:00 PM, Score: 30 - 31
Point Spread: -6.00 | -116.00 Pittsburgh (Away)
Result: Loss
#311 ASA PLAY 8* ON Pittsburgh -6 over Boston College, Saturday at 4:00 PM ET

Pitt should be in an angry mood here after losing at home to NC State as a 14 point favorite. Looking at the stat sheet, you’d have no idea how Pitt lost that game. The Panthers rolled up over 500 total yards and held the Wolfpack to 398. NC State scored a TD with just 23 seconds remaining in the game to pull the 30-29 upset. Pitt’s defense is outstanding. They rank #3 nationally in total defense allowing just 232 YPG. Their rush defense is a brick wall as they’ve allowed just 57 YPG on the ground through their first 4 games, good for 2nd nationally. Now they are facing a BC team that has been predominantly a running team over the last few years but this season they are only putting up 70 YPG on the ground which ranks them 71st out of 74 teams currently playing. In other words, the Eagles will most likely be one dimensional here with very little success on the ground. That’s never good for an offense. BC comes in with a 2-1 record but they are fortunate to be in that situation. They upset Duke in their first game thanks to the Blue Devils 5 turnovers. Duke has also gone on to lose every game this season (0-4 record) so that win might not be all that impressive in hindsight. BC then played host to Texas State and the Eagles barely squeaked out a 24-21 win as a 17 point favorite. TSU actually outgained the Eagles in that game and led 21-7 late in the 3rd quarter before BC scored the final 17 points including the game winning FG with just 3 seconds remaining. Last week BC was all in at home vs a very solid, and ranked, UNC team. The Eagles trailed the entire game yet scored with under 1:00 minute remaining to pull them within 2. A failed 2 point conversion gave them the loss. That game took a lot out of this team both physically and mentally and this week could be tough for BC. The Panthers are also 2-1 after last week’s loss but they are outgaining their opponents 419 to 232. BC, on the other hand, is getting outgained on the season 345 to 370. BC also upset Pitt on the road last year as a 9-point dog giving the Panthers even more motivation here. We like the better team, who should be very motivated, that is better on both sides of the ball in this game. Laying less than a TD is solid value here.