MLB Total Crusher
(MLB) Miami vs. Atlanta, 09/22/2020 7:10 PM, Score: 1 - 11
Total: 9.00 | -109.00 Over
Result: Win
ASA TOP PLAY 10* ON OVER the Total - Miami Marlins @ Atlanta Braves, Tuesday at 7:10 PM ET

Yesterday's game saw the Marlins score 3 in the top of the first only to see the Braves answer with 4 in the bottom of the first. 7 runs after just 1 inning. Easy over, right? Nope. The game stalled out, for the most part, after that early surge and it ended up not going over the total as Atlanta went on to a 5-4 win. That sets this one up nicely as it keeps this match-up off the "radar screen" of people who play streaks with totals in MLB. The fact is the Braves are one of the top hitting teams in the majors and the pitching match-up Tuesday sets this one up nicely to be a slugfest. Jose Urena, Miami's starting pitcher tonight, is 2-8 with a 6.55 ERA in his career against the Braves. Also, Urena just faced Atlanta 2 weeks ago and struggled in that outing. He is now a combined 4-12 with a 5.33 ERA the past two seasons combined. He is just getting going this year as he only returned to the rotation earlier this month but in his two starts against NL East teams (lineups familiar with him) he allowed 9 runs (8 earned) in 9 and 1 / 3 innings. The Braves start Bryse Wilson here. He has only made 13 appearances (5 starts) at the MLB level and the results are not impressive. Wilson has a 7.01 ERA and opponents have hit .319 against at the MLB level. The Marlins just saw him for 4 innings earlier this month and though Wilson survived it he was pitching in and out of jams. More of the same expected here per our computer math model but this time the Marlins do more damage at the plate. With both starters hit hard yesterday, each team used a lot of bullpen in yesterday's game which also helps the cause in terms of some potential bullpen struggles in the forecast today after these starters each make an early exit! Bet the OVER in Atlanta in early evening action Tuesday.