MLB Early Crusher
(MLB) Philadelphia vs. Washington, 09/21/2020 6:05 PM, Score: 1 - 5
Money Line: -150.00 Philadelphia (Away)
Result: Loss
ASA PLAY 8* ON Philadelphia Phillies Money Line (-) @ Washington Nationals, Monday at 6:05 PM ET

We are aware of the Phillies Bryce Harper dealing with back stiffness. If anything, that will only help us in terms of line value if it ends up being announced that he will not be in the lineup tonight. As it stands now, we are comfortable with the -150 price range on the Phillies in this one as this game is a huge pitching mismatch. Also, Harper is hitting a poor .176 against Anibal Sanchez in his career so if he misses this game it is not a key factor one way or the other. What is a key factor is that Sanchez is 1-5 with an 8.63 ERA in his night starts and having a very rough season overall in 2020. Also, he faced the Phillies earlier this season and was rocked for 4 runs (3 earned) on 9 hits in 3 and 1 / 3 innings. With 9 hits allowed and only 10 outs recorded , the damage could have been even worse for Sanchez. As it was, it definitely still falls into the ugly category. Now he faces a Phillies team that is off a loss that followed a 3 game winning streak. Washington is off a huge win Sunday in Game 2 of their double-header but the loss in Game 1 was the Nationals 18th in their last 27 games. The Nationals are at home for this one but are just 9-16 at home this season and they are taking on the man that has become the Phillies top pitcher this season. Yes their #2 Zack Wheeler is actually out-pitching #1 Aaron Nola on the year. Wheeler is 4-0 with a 2.62 ERA on the season and he also pitches deep into games which is a key since the Phillies bullpen has had issues this season. In fact Wheeler has averaged 6.5 innings per start this season and that means getting 7 innings here can be expected. He pitched 6 and 2/ 3 scoreless innings against Washington earlier this month and held the Nats to just 3 hits in that gem. Per our computer math model, another great start from Wheeler is expected here and the Phillies (whether with or without Harper) pound the struggling Sanchez. Lay it! Bet the Philadelphia Phillies on the money line in early evening action Monday.