MLB - The play here is MILWAUKEE -1.5 -105 on Run Line. Brewers are 30-12 last 3 seasons against Pirates including 15-4 in games played at Milwaukee. The Brewers are 10-3 this season against Pittsburgh including 9-1 last 10 and the aggregate score of those 10 games was 72 to 21. That means an average score of 7 to 2 and, per the simulation report, another Brewers blowout win over the Pirates is likely here. Eric Lauer has a 1.04 ERA last 3 starts overall and also a 1.42 ERA last 3 starts against Pittsburgh. Bryse Wilson, just acquired from Atlanta, is struggling again this season and has a 5.45 ERA in his MLB career and opponents are hitting .312 against him at the MLB level in his career. Wilson allowed 4 earned runs in 4 innings in his only career start at Milwaukee. Overall, entering this game, the Pirates have lost 9 of 13 and Brewers have won 7 of 9. Per the simulation report, home blowout likely. Play MILWAUKEE -1.5 -105 on Run Line.