NCAAF - Great situational spot. Michigan State is off a bye week and that was preceded by back to back losses. Without a doubt, the Spartans come to play at home in this game. Northwestern is a perfect 5-0 this season and off their biggest win of the year as they upset Wisconsin last week. Considering the Wildcats have scored an average of only 21.5 points per game their last 4 games, it seems hard to justify them being favored by nearly a two touchdown margin here. The Spartans did score 27 points in each of their first two games this season and are in perfect bounce back spot here coming off an extra week off plus back to back losses. Per the simulation report, the home dog gets back on track here in terms of playing a solid game and they stay inside the big number here. Play MICHIGAN STATE