NFL Sunday Bills vs Saints Winner
(NFL) New Orleans vs. Buffalo, 11/12/2017 8:00 AM, Score: 47 - 10
Total: 47.50 | -102.00 Under
Result: Win
MIT Simulator - NFL Sunday Bills vs Saints Winner
MIT Simulator Score - New Orleans 30.92, Buffalo 27.76 - Projected Total Points: 58.68 - Current O/U: 47.5 - Variance to O/U: 11.18 - MIT Simulator shows Edge Factor of 11.18 points. Value in double digits. Key factors noted: Decent weather by Buffalo standards in mid-November. Light winds, no precipitation and temperatures in the low 40s expected. Saints have won 6 straight games and averaged scoring 30.3 points per game during this 6-game streak. The Bills have won 4 of their last 6 games and averaged scoring 28.3 points per game in the 4 wins. The Bills pass defense is a weakness and the Saints passing attack is among the best in the league. Buffalo's strength on offense is the ground game and New Orleans is weaker against the run than the pass on defense. The Saints have allowed 141.7 rushing yards per game their last 3 games. The Bills also got gouged on the ground last week by the Jets - which is why New York didn't have to throw much - but, prior to that, Buffalo gave up 338 passing yards per game in their 3 previous games. Bills O/U is 3-0 L3 games overall and 3-0 in L3 home games. When off of a loss in divisional action, the Bills O/U is 5-1. Record on home games O/U for Buffalo is 15-5 L20. As a road favorite of 3 points or less, the Saints O/U is 18-8. Two of the hotter teams in the league should lead to a high-scoring game here. Projected box-score shows Saints and Bills combining for 297.75 yards of rushing total. Projected box-score shows New Orleans and Buffalo combining for 505.11 yards of passing total. Combined yardage of 802.86 total yards equating to 58.68 points per MIT Simulator. Play: OVER