CFB Saturday UCLA vs Arizona State Winner
(NCAAF) Arizona State vs. UCLA, 11/11/2017 4:30 PM, Score: 37 - 44
Point Spread: 3.50 | -110.00 Arizona State (Away)
Result: Loss
MIT Simulator - CFB Saturday UCLA vs Arizona State Winner
MIT Simulator Score - Sun Devils 37.74, Bruins 30.20 - Projected Margin of Victory: 7.54 - Current Line: +3.5 - Variance to Line: 11.04 - MIT Simulator shows Edge Factor of 11.04 points. Value in double digits! Projected box-score shows Sun Devils rushing edge of 141.94 yards in excess of Bruins rushing total. Key factors noted: Just like the last two years, the Sun Devils are an underdog in this match-up and, just like the last two years, the simulation is forecasting an outright win for Arizona State. The Bruins are expected to have QB Josh Rosen back for this game but he and the rest of the Bruins have had issues with turnovers versus the Sun Devils. Also, the big problem here is on the other side of the ball where UCLA's run defense is allowing over 300 rushing yards per game! The Sun Devils ran for nearly 400 yards last week at home and, on the road this season, Arizona State is averaging nearly 200 yards per game on the ground. ASU's ability to dominate on the ground will allow them to control clock in this match-up and will keep the ball out of Rosen's hands. The Bruins are on a 6-17 ATS run in games played on a grass field. The Sun Devils are 4-1-1 ATS as an underdog this season with 3 outright upsets and the simulation is forecasting more of the same in this match-up as UCLA gets caught looking ahead to their biggest rival, USC, on deck for next week. Projected box-score shows UCLA passing edge of 67.54 yards in excess of Arizona State passing total. Net yardage edge for underdog Sun Devils of 74.40 total yards equating to victory by 7.54 points per MIT Simulator. Play: ARIZONA STATE