(MLB) Milwaukee vs. Cincinnati, 06/10/2021 12:35 PM, Score: 7 - 2
Point Spread: 1.50 | -147.00 Cincinnati (Home)
Result: Loss
I'm playing CINCINNATI on the run-line. In a game where runs could well be at a premium, getting an extra +1.5 runs to work with could well prove invaluable. While Peralta has admittedly been great overall, he hasn't been quite as good (3.65 ERA) on the road. Castillo is much better than his numbers suggest and he finally put it all together last time out, reminding everyone last time out that he's still a good pitcher. He went six innings, allowing three hits and one run, while picking up his first win in a couple of months. That's the type of performance he can take positive momentum from. Note that he reportedly gained some velocity on his sinker in that start, a welcome sign. These same two starters opposed each other a few weeks ago, Peralta and the Brewers finishing on top. That was prior to Castillo "turning the corner" though. While I certainly like their chances of an outright win, I say the Reds earn AT LEAST the "run-line cover."